Fingar, Thomas,

Reducing uncertainty : intelligence analysis and national security / Thomas Fingar. - Stanford, California : Stanford Security Studies, 2011. - xii, 176 pages ; 24 cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.

9780804775939 (pbk. : alk. paper) 0804775931 (pbk. : alk. paper) 9780804775946 (pbk. : alk. paper) 080477594X (pbk. : alk. paper)

2010045291

015890869 Uk


Intelligence service--United States.
National security--United States.

JK468.I6 / F56 2011
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