Reducing uncertainty : intelligence analysis and national security / Thomas Fingar.
by
Fingar, Thomas [author.]
.
Material type: 


Contents:
Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.
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Includes bibliographical references and index.
Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.
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