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Reducing uncertainty : intelligence analysis and national security / Thomas Fingar.

by Fingar, Thomas [author.].
Material type: materialTypeLabelBookPublisher: Stanford, California : Stanford Security Studies, 2011Description: xii, 176 pages ; 24 cm.ISBN: 9780804775939 (pbk. : alk. paper); 0804775931 (pbk. : alk. paper); 9780804775946 (pbk. : alk. paper); 080477594X (pbk. : alk. paper).Subject(s): Intelligence service -- United States | National security -- United States
Contents:
Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.
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Includes bibliographical references and index.

Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.

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